乐透抽签通常在5月第三或第四的星期进行。
以下为2005至2018年间的情形,16支球队晋级季后赛,剩下14支球队没有晋级季后赛的队伍排名由最差至最佳如下:
250种组合,25.0%的机率获得状元签
199种组合,19.9%的机率
156种组合,15.6%的机率
119种组合,11.9%的机率
88种组合,8.8%的机率
63种组合,6.3%的机率
43种组合,4.3%的机率
28种组合,2.8%的机率
17种组合,1.7%的机率
11种组合,1.1%的机率
8种组合,0.8%的机率
7种组合,0.7%的机率
6种组合,0.6%的机率
5种组合,0.5%的机率
种子顺位
机率
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
1
250
.250
.215
.178
.357
–
–
–
–
–
–
–
–
–
–
2
199
.199
.188
.171
.319
.123
–
–
–
–
–
–
–
–
–
3
156
.156
.157
.156
.226
.265
.040
–
–
–
–
–
–
–
–
4
119
.119
.126
.133
.099
.351
.160
.012
–
–
–
–
–
–
–
5
88
.088
.097
.107
–
.261
.360
.084
.004
–
–
–
–
–
–
6
63
.063
.071
.081
–
–
.439
.305
.040
.001
–
–
–
–
–
7
43
.043
.049
.058
–
–
–
.599
.232
.018
.000
–
–
–
–
8
28
.028
.033
.039
–
–
–
–
.724
.168
.008
.000
–
–
–
9
17
.017
.020
.024
–
–
–
–
–
.813
.122
.004
.000
–
–
10
11
.011
.013
.016
–
–
–
–
–
–
.870
.089
.002
.000
–
11
8
.008
.009
.012
–
–
–
–
–
–
–
.907
.063
.001
.000
12
7
.007
.008
.010
–
–
–
–
–
–
–
–
.935
.039
.000
13
6
.006
.007
.009
–
–
–
–
–
–
–
–
–
.960
.018
14
5
.005
.006
.007
–
–
–
–
–
–
–
–
–
–
.982
自2019年起,乐透抽签改为以下情形(如出现战绩相同,则将中奖球对分,或设决胜局以授予额外的中奖球。):
前三位有14%的机会获得状元签。
140种组合,获得状元签的机率为14.0%
140种组合,14.0%的机率
140种组合,14.0%的机率
125种组合,12.5%的机率
105种组合,10.5%的机率
90种组合,9.0%的机率
75种组合,7.5%的机率
60种组合,6.0%的机率
45种组合,4.5%的机率
30种组合,3.0%的机率
20种组合,2.0%的机率
15种组合,1.5%的机率
10种组合,1.0%的机率
5种组合,0.5%的机率
种子顺位
机率
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
1
140
.140
.134
.127
.120
.479
–
–
–
–
–
–
–
–
–
2
140
.140
.134
.127
.120
.278
.200
–
–
–
–
–
–
–
–
3
140
.140
.134
.127
.120
.148
.260
.070
–
–
–
–
–
–
–
4
125
.125
.122
.119
.115
.072
.257
.167
.022
–
–
–
–
–
–
5
105
.105
.105
.106
.105
.022
.196
.267
.087
.006
–
–
–
–
–
6
90
.090
.092
.094
.096
–
.086
.298
.206
.037
.001
–
–
–
–
7
75
.075
.078
.081
.085
–
–
.197
.341
.129
.013
.000
–
–
–
8
60
.060
.063
.067
.072
–
–
–
.345
.321
.067
.004
.000
–
–
9
45
.045
.048
.052
.057
–
–
–
–
.507
.259
.030
.001
.000
–
10
30
.030
.033
.036
.040
–
–
–
–
–
.659
.190
.012
.000
.000
11
20
.020
.022
.024
.028
–
–
–
–
–
–
.776
.126
.004
.000
12
15
.015
.017
.019
.021
–
–
–
–
–
–
–
.861
.067
.001
13
10
.010
.011
.012
.014
–
–
–
–
–
–
–
–
.929
.023
14
5
.005
.006
.006
.007
–
–
–
–
–
–
–
–
–
.976